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Flatlining

New York City’s graduation rates flatten after six years of growth

After years of steady improvement, the city’s 4-year high school graduation rate flattened in 2011, according to new figures released by the state today.

Of students who entered high school in 2007, 60.9 percent graduated four years later, according to the new figures. When August graduates are included, the rate rises to 65.5 percent.

Sixty-one percent of students who entered city high schools in 2006 graduated on time in 2010. That year’s graduation rate with August graduates included was 65.1 percent.

The plateau comes after six years of growth that saw graduation rates rise from 46.5 percent in 2005 to 61 percent last year. Before that, graduation rates were stagnant for a decade and its steady improvement over the past six years has been one of the Bloomberg administration’s cornerstone achievements to cite in defending its education policies.

And as graduation standards increase, the flattened figures aren’t likely to resume that rate of improvement in coming years. Graduation could drop by as much as much as 10 percent next year. That’s the percentage of high school students – or about 8,000 students – who graduated with a local diploma, which allowed them to graduate despite scoring under 65 on one Regents exam. The local diploma has been phased out and the option won’t be available to this year’s students.

Graduation rate fell slightly for black students – from 60.6 percent to 60.4 percent – and grew slightly for white, Asian and Hispanic students. The city’s college-readiness rate also fell slightly, from 21.4 percent to 20.7 percent.

Most of the state’s other large urban districts saw more significant increases in their graduation figures. Those districts collectively improved by about 6 percent.

As usual, the city will be holding a press conference to offer its take on the graduation data. Just minutes after the state released the graduation data, Department of Education officials posted a slideshow presentation that highlights some of the city’s gains. For instance, a higher rate of students are graduating with more rigorous diplomas and graduation rates in the city’s newer schools are significantly higher than the low-performing ones they replaced.

To highlight this growth, this afternoon’s press conference will take place in the old Bushwick High School building, where three smaller schools are now at capacity.

 

  • R.I.P. Richmond Hill

    How can anyone have ANY faith in these graduation rates?   I work in one of the P.L.A. schools and our graduation rate has “miraculously” improved during the past two years or so… of course that has more to do with teachers being pressured relentlessly to pass all their students and even when they actually do fail a class, there was independent study, then credit recovery, now you have apex, etc.  You don’t even have to show up to pass classes, as long as you’re alive and breathing you will graduate on time in NYC. 

  • Vnjfursl

    EPIC FAIL!!!!!!!!!!
    HERE IT IS LADIES N GENTS —- THE GRADUATION RATE WILL NOW STAY LEVEL OR EVEN DECLINE AS MAYOR DUESHEBERG EXITS.  HIS PLAN HAS FAILED.  DESTROYED SCHOOLS, PLACED HUNDREDS AND HUNDREDS OF SCHOOLS WITHIN SCHOOLS, AND HAS CREATED NETWORKS.  ALL A TOTAL WASTE OF TAXPAYERS $$$.  HOW BOUT THE GRADUATION RATE NOW?  YUP, DONE!!!

  • Eastsider

    Will be interesting to see how “distributuve scoring,” regents exam papers being graded by other schools, impacts the regents pass rates … this year some schools continued to grade in-house while others were matched up … decision made by superintendent. Next year all papers will be graded elsewhere.

  • Anonymous

    That’s the percentage of high school students – or about 8,000 students – who graduated with a local diploma, which allowed them to graduate despite scoring under 65 on one Regents exam. The local diploma has been phased out and the option won’t be available to this year’s students.

    An overwhelming amount of the population I serve (high school self – contained) will find it even more difficult to graduate now with the absense of the local diploma or RCT exams which too are being phased out.  I find this criminal and absolutely devastating to many SWD students who obviously will not be entering a four year college but most likely and hopefully will use VESID for job/skill training.  Many of my students work very hard and to their potential but will find it very difficult to reach a score of 55 on all thier regents exams - in general, many self contained students are way below appopriate levels in reading, writing and math.  I feel for the SWD who works to his or her ability, shows character and works hard to finally one day find a decent line of work through a jobs program and then cannot show proof of a basic high school diploma because the powers that be feel everyone must obtain a REGENTS diploma.   A total joke and further proof that the people making such decisions have not a clue to the real classrooms across this city. 

  • Philip Nobile

    Twisting teachers’ arms to inflate course grades is not new in city high schools. But you can bet your CAR that this form of cheating is spreading. And worse, it is semi-official DOE policy—just like scrubbing Regents exams which both the DOE and the UFT encouraged for years by looking the other way. If not for the Wall Street Journal’s February 10, 2011 exposé of Regents tampering (“Students’ Regents Test Scores Bulge at 65,” February 2, 2011),
    principals and teachers would still be committing Regents crimes without fear of detection. Surely, the drop in 2011’s grad rates can be traced to greater test security which will be even tighter when extramural grading kicks in.
     
    The following emails were sent to me ten years ago by Cobble Hill Assistant Principal Theresa Capra. She resigned from the DOE in disgrace in the wake of my Regents tampering allegations that were substantiated by OSI. But Chancellor Klein corruptly restored her to the eligibility list after Special Commissioner of Investigation Richard Condon fraudulently reported that there was not enough evidence. (BTW, SCI never audited the disputed exams.) Capra’s emails pull back the curtain on the sad reality of mayoral control:
     
     
    4/29/02
    I understand that our students are not working enough and their grades are a reflection of this, however, you cannot fail 90% of the class. IF students are not responding to homework, do not base most of the grade on assignments. … For the next marking period, try to raise the grades so that a good majority have the opportunity to pass. … Just so you know, out of all the teachers you have one of the lowest passing percentages.
     

    4/29/02
    I know that this is a true problem, not just for us, but across the city. In other more competitive schools teachers face different problems: lawsuits from parents, elaborate cheating rings, higher suicide attempts and depression, unfriendly competition among staff. Well the bottom line is you cannot fail 90% of any class—even if you feel that they deserve it. You must try to bring up their grades….
     
     
    6/9/02
    Well, try not to fail an overwhelming majority. Use your judgment. Make some phone calls this week to let parents know it’s a last chance shot. Keep a record of your phone calls. The bottom line is you can’t fail everyone, except for a couple. You have to evaluate each kid and try to pass a fair amount. Keep me posted.
     

    6/15/02
    we must make sure that we stay on top of this from the beginning next year. Passing just a tiny percent of your students will look really bad. Even if you feel that they did not meet the standards, just to let you know it may be the lowest rate in the school.

  • http://twitter.com/SoBronxSchool Bronx Teacher

     What a shock that grad rates have stagnated after years of fake credit recovery, fake education, fake grades.

    Whilst on the subject in other shocking news, Earth revolves around the Sun, the Moon revolves around Earth, the Sun rises in the east and sets in the west, the Mets will laways be a second class team, and the Cub won;t make it to a World Series.

  • Mr. Flerporillo
  • old teach

    The numbers of students graduating are and have been suspect under the Bloomberg administration. There are many factors that go into the requirements and this administration has used credit recovery, component retesting, invalid seat time for exams, and out right fraud via test cheating to inflate their data. The number that should illustrate this to the average New Yorker is the lack of preparedness exhibited by many graduates upon entering college. The remedial rate has been called into question by none other than Regent Tisch. I wish the media outlets covering NYC public schools would report what Gotham school reports then, the real truth regarding Bloombergs education miracle would be exposed.

  • Kcarybyrnes

    “Lies, damned lies, and statistics”: a numbers-oriented, bean-counting, fear-based, shame-based, abusive educational environment will breed the most egregious abuses by school-based personnel and their overlords in the districts, clusters, and networks.  Students will be used cynically as props in this bloodless war.  Examples exist throughout the country.
    Where, when, and how are we really helping high-poverty, segregated students to be healthier, happier, and more accomplished, especially as social mobility for the poor has become nearly impossible?   The lives of my students have only become more desperate, stressful, and hopeless as the economy has worsened and the distribution of wealth has become more concentrated at the top.  Shame on America and its ill-informed money-makers who try to influence educational policy with their pat answers and easy formulas.  Social and economic justice is the only answer.    

  • http://www.facebook.com/md.aks Md Aks

    At the present time New york city’s graduations rates is day  by day increasing. all these high school’s graduations rates too increasing. some days later that will be first.
    http://www.nanakasha.com/high-income-hypnosis-new-york-city/

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