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On U.S. math test, NYC sees gradual but not short-term gains

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Fourth grade students' scores were flat this year, but have increased since 2003 and 2005.

City students have made no significant improvements on a national math test in the last two years, but years of two and three-point gains have led to a general trend of modestly increasing scores.

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Eighth grade students did not make meaningful gains this year. Reflecting a pattern of fourth-graders outperforming eighth graders, the older students have seen fewer score gains since 2003.

Fourth and eighth grade students’ scores on the National Assessment of Educational Progress, known as the nation’s report card, have been statistically flat since 2007, though both groups have made gains since 2005 and 2003.

NAEP scores are typically released on a state-by-state basis, but in 2002 several large cities agreed to have their own figures reported separately. The data does not include test scores from students in charter schools. Compared to students in other large cities, New York City’s fourth-graders beat the average score, while its eighth grade students’ scores met the average — a pattern that has held constant since 2003.

This year, a fourth-grader’s average score on the math test was 237, compared to 236 in 2007. Though there was no improvement in the last two years, there has been an 11 point increase since 2003.

The average score for an eighth-grader was 273 compared to 270 in 2007. Since 2003, the year the Bloomberg administration began to initiate changes in the city’s public schools, eighth graders have seen a 7 point increase in scores.

While the NAEP scores show no significant changes since 2007, the state’s yearly math exams tell a different story. According to state tests, between 2007 and 2009, both fourth and eighth graders in New York State saw their scores jump significant amounts.

Chancellor of the Board of Regents Merryl Tisch said the state tests measured students’ growth less accurately than NAEP, as they are more predictable and cover fewer subjects.

“I think the mayor and the chancellor have done an extraordinary job on the schools, but that doesn’t mean perfect. That means beyond anyone’s expectations,” Tisch said. “And I frankly believe that these NAEP scores reflect a misalignment between state standards and national standards that we are going to address.”

All groups of students have posted some improvements since 2003, except for white eighth graders, who have always had high scores, and Hispanic eighth graders, who lag behind other groups.

“We just have to do better with our English language learners,” said DOE spokesman David Cantor. “We knew we had to make some pretty radical changes and that’s what we’re going to try to do.”

picture-31The gap between white students’ scores and black and Hispanic students’ scores, known as the achievement gap, has not narrowed in New York City over the last six years, according to the NAEP results.

This year, white fourth-graders had an average score that was 26 points higher than black students’ scores, compared to a gap of 25 points in 2003. For Hispanic fourth-graders, the gap was 23 points in 2009 and 24 points in 2003. The same pattern continued this year for eighth grade students.

At the height of his reelection campaign, Bloomberg predicted that the NAEP scores would mirror gains made on the state tests and show that his administration was succeeding in closing the achievement gap.

“You are going to see the NAEP scores show, the federal government scores, show that New York City has made great progress,” he said during a televised debate.

Dissecting the numbers yesterday, few could agree on how “great” the progress has been.

“We have had eight years of relentless focus on test prep for the state examinations that has led to sharply rising scores on those tests. But the NAEP, the most respected test, shows that our students have actually made very small gains,” said teachers union president Michael Mulgrew in a statement.

“It’s time to admit that the DOE’s education strategy is not working,” Mulgrew said.

picture-4City officials emphasized the long-term gains.

“We usually don’t put a great deal of weight on the rise or decline over a two year period,” Cantor said. “We wait for longer terms to judge if we’re going in the the right direction or not.”

New York City’s results on the test are likely to be overshadowed by Washington D.C., which saw the greatest score increase of any participating major city.

Results from the 2009 NAEP reading test will not be available until the spring.

  • http://nyceducator.com NYC Educator

    I give them a D and suggest we close Tweed.

  • Born In Brooklyn

    After all the money, all the reorganization, etc., this is the best performance the NYCDOE can demonstrate? I just don’t think this cuts it and I think the Mayor, Chancellor, PEP, and other leadership should be held accountable for paltry results proportionate to resources and time allocated. Seven some odd years and how much money spent?

  • Michael M.

    NYC 8th graders may have seen a 7-point increase since 2003. Fine.

    But the comparison should not be to 2003 scores — it should be to other cities’ scores over the same period, no?

    One point better than the nation as a whole, and two points BEHIND large cities as a group. Heck, we’re weighing DOWN the performance of OTHER large cities.

    On the above graphic there are at least FIVE other cities with better performance (for that group, looked at similarly). And a number of other cities who’s 8th graders pulled up MORE than their 4th graders (better than the other way round, imho.)

    Can we swap Klein for one of THEIR Chancellors? Wait, don’t tell me…. Do those cities have “mayoral control?”

    Argh.

    Can we get $100M for a “debunk the funk” campaign?

  • Michael M.

    Oops. “…whose.”
    Darn non-charter, non-private, edumacation. ; – )

  • Clara Hemphill

    I don’t know. It seems to me that slow and steady gains over six years DO represent real improvement. Real gains ARE slow and steady. And you would expect 4th grade to improve more than 8th grade, because it takes time for reforms to reach the upper grades. Any statisticians out there care to comment?

  • Michael M.

    CH,

    Real improvement, perhaps. Not the point I was making.

    But real improvement at no different a rate than elsewhere? In NYC, “Mikey’s Miracle” is all hype. Re “reforms reaching upper grades”, perhaps though I dare say middle school and elementary school deserve different approaches, but on the NAEP data:
    EIGHT cities showed more improvement since 2003 in 8th grade than in 4th.
    Only TWO cities (NYC and DC) showed more improvement since 2003 in 4th than 8th.

    This would suggest it’s easier to make a difference at 8th grade, no?

    Also, per 1st graphic, in NYC anyway, 8th graders started from farther back, which intuitively to me suggests that it might be harder to get improvement out of 4th grade than 8th grade, consistent with the 8 v 2 tally.

    The emperor might have $100M to spend on new clothes, but the data lays it bare.

  • Galtonian

    I think the NAEP tests should replace all of the different tests that the individual states develop and administer. If everyone took the same national test (and I think private and religious school students should also be required to take the same national test) then it would be much easier to make comparisons between different jurisdictions and between public and private schools. It is a big waste of money and resources to have each state trying to reinvent the wheel by making up their own tests each year. As for the ethnoracial differences in academic achievement test scores, why is it that each school system, each city, and each state, has to go through this charade each year and pretend like it is some big surprise that Blacks and Hispanics perform at a lower level than Whites and Asians? All knowledgeble scholars in the fields of cognitive and educational psychology know that there are ethnoracial group differences in IQ-type intelligence, this has been known for many decades. Why then does anybody expect that on academic achievement tests Blacks (average IQ ~85) and Hispanics (ave IQ ~88) will score as high as Whites (ave IQ ~100) or Asians (ave IQ ~105)?

  • Smith

    How do the Klein years compare to the pre-Klein years?

  • Michael M.

    Smith,

    Just think how much better off NYC students might be in the POST-Klein years.

    Instead, we’ve got a “manager” who acts like he’s won the world series when in fact he’s just mid-pack.

    His strategy for the next four years? Blame the teachers (not just the UFT contract costs, but them PERSONALLY, as he has done in a HuffPost essay), and bring in the “closers,” aka charters.

    All of this stands in stark contrast to the fact that he gave 98% of his TRADITIONAL public elementary and middle schools A’s and B’s just prior to his boss’s re-erection (sic).

    This administration is like a rooster taking credit for the sunrise…. at 11 pm, just in time for the news.

  • C.S.

    “We wait for longer terms to judge if we’re going in the the right direction or not.”
    Funny, if that were true why would the DOE be be restructuring almost every year, and seeing large, drastic changes in the DOE at least every 5? If we keep changing so dramatically and quickly, how will we know what’s helping or hurting? Some people realize that there’s too little data about what’s been going on in these “portfolio” school districts to make a fair evaluation–just not the DOE.

  • Salyse

    How can Cantor say that the DOE doesn’t put too much weight on changes in test scores over a two-year period whey they just handed out over $30 million in principal bonuses based on a one-year change in test scores? That seems like a lot of “weight” to me! Tweed = deadweight.

  • Pingback: US-born Hispanics see gains in education, income (AP) « NewsDropper.com

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