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Would a UFT endorsement for Thompson make a difference?

On the night of his primary election victory, city comptroller candidate John Liu stood in the city’s teacher union headquarters and thanked the United Federation of Teachers for delivering his win. In the mayoral race, by contrast, the UFT chose to sit on the sidelines and not endorse the Democratic candidate, as it has historically done.

How much of a difference has the UFT’s decision to sit out the race made for comptroller Bill Thompson’s campaign? The answer likely rests on the continuum between not much and not at all, election observers said today.

Those who argue that a UFT endorsement would have helped Thompson, if only modestly, point to the UFT’s powerful voter turnout machine. In an election predicted to see few voters, the ability to mobilize teachers and parents could be a deciding factor in who wins tomorrow.

A spokesman for the union, Dick Riley, estimated that union volunteers had made about 200,000 calls and distributed 50,000 pieces of campaign literature this year on behalf of endorsed candidates in citywide, borough and city council elections. The union also sends out robocalls urging its members to vote for candidates and its president, Michael Mulgrew, made appearances with candidates at press conferences.

To the Thompson campaign, which was been criticized for lacking discipline, an army of UFT volunteers with supplies on hand would have been a welcome sight. But Thompson may need more help than that, observers said.

“If they had endorsed Thompson it would have been a big plus, but it wouldn’t have been enough” said James Vlasto, a former communications director for public advocate Betsy Gotbaum.

Vlasto, who has worked on 30 campaigns in New York City, said the UFT’s support would not have raised Thompson’s poll numbers significantly, as the campaign’s flaws were too pronounced to be solved with one endorsement.

The Thompson campaign “had some unions, they had vehicles that could spread the word for him, [but] they missed out,” Vlasto said. “They spent all their time and money saying eight years is enough, and that’s a fine slogan, but there are other issues.”

Other observers said no amount of phone-banking or literature-distributing by the UFT would have made a difference for the Thompson campaign, as it was already mid-October when a chapter leader at a delegate assembly meeting offered a resolution to endorse Thompson. The motion was postponed and the union never returned to it.

“Without significant efforts by a union following a late endorsement in a race, the impact of the endorsement can be negligible,” said Benjamin Kallos, the director of policy and research for Mark Green’s campaign for public advocate.

This is not the first time the UFT has decided wait out a mayoral election, especially during contract negotiations. Following the end of contract negotiations in 2005, the UFT chose not to endorse Bloomberg or his Democratic challenger Fernando Ferrer. The UFT was also neutral in 1993 and 1997.

“It’s not uncommon that unions will not take a position when they’re sitting at the bargaining table,” said District Council 37 Local 372 president Veronica Montgomery-Costa. DC 37 endorsed Thompson over the summer and Montgomery-Costa spoke from the campaign’s headquarters where union volunteers were working.

“If they don’t pick the right candidate it could have a devastating impact on negotiations,” she said.

Vlasto said the UFT’s decision to keep the last two mayoral campaigns at arm’s length had caused it to cede political power to the the Working Families Party, an idea Riley disputed. “As to our clout, both De Blasio and Liu made it a point to address our delegate assembly after their endorsements,” Riley wrote in an email. ”

“One presumes that Liu had some reason for having his victory party after the runoff here at the UFT and Cy Vance (endorsed by the UFT but not the WFP) singled Mulgrew out at his primary night celebration to thank him for the UFT’s contribution to his victory.”

A spokesman for the Thompson campaign did not return requests for comment.

  • http://southbronxschool.blogspot.com Teacher In Bronx

    Just like the Palestinians, the UFT never misses an opportunity to miss an opportunity.

  • John Hancock

    Teacher in Bronx- What? Please explain that racist comment so I can feel a little bit better about you being a teacher (though I highly doubt it)

  • I noticed that…

    Teacher in the Bronx: I, too, am uncomfortable and bothered by the comment. There was no need for you to refer to particular race when dealing with inner-city issues.

  • http://southbronxschool.blogspot.com Teacher In Bronx

    Racist? You have got to be kidding! This is quote is attributed to Abba Eban after the Geneva Peace Conference with Arab countries.

  • Fred Smith

    And to adapt another of Eban’s observations and apply it to NYC politics: If Mayor Bloomberg proposed the world was flat, he would immediately have 50 votes of support in the City Council.

  • John Hancock

    I will not get into a flaming war with you and others because it would serve no purpose. What I will tell you is this. When someone groups an entire group together to sum up an attitude or general view without knowledge of that groups indiividuality, that is racist. Secondly, you took the word Arabs out and threw in Palastinians because you just read something on the Internet not really knowing it was wrong because it fit some point you aret trying to make. Are groups of people interchangable? What if I am Palestinian? If you don’t see at all what I am saying then I a little bit sadder today

  • Fred Smith

    John,

    Yanks for signing the Declaration of Independence.

    I appreciate your point, but let’s not get overworked or too righteous on this. For the record, Eban’s comment on missing opportunities was not a generalization about Palestinians or Arabs or Semites or followers of Islam. It was about Yasir Arafat and his penchant for missing opportunities to reach agreements with Israel (while stealing hundreds of millions of dollars from the PLO).

    Give it a rest, vote and enjoy the rest of the day.

  • Peter

    lets get back to the topic of the post.

    UFT endorsements were very important in the Comptoller and Public Advocate races because the candidates had similar views, rather than teachers votes scattered among the host of candidates the endorsees benefited greatly. This not true at the mayoral race, I don’t know a single teacher who didn’t make up their mind a long time ago. Perhaps if the UFT endorsed months ago they could have influenced non-teacher voters, maybe. It’s always about risk versu reward.

    If a contract emerges w/i the next few weeks most teachers will be satisfied, and whether or not one emerges members wi ll express their pleasure/displeasure in the union elections in 3-4 months.

    This democracy thing has it’s upsides.

  • rick mangone

    The UFT was right in staying neutral in the mayor’s race. While the majority of members will vote for Thompson, it made no sense to endorse his candidacy. The UFT leadership responded correctly on it’s members behalf by staying out of this race. While the members hatred for Klein and his policies would be served by endorsing Thompson, we are in a much stronger position at the bargaining table should Bloomberg win as expected. Weingarten and Mulgrew have steered the correct course.

  • Mom who cares about the kids

    Great. So the UFT gets their raises and the kids get screwed. Is that justice? I thought that teachers were supposed to care about the quality of our schools, not just their pay checks. Its a sad day for this city.

  • I noticed that…

    Mom who cares…

    All employees whether they work for the private or public sector are entitled to raises. Without raises people would not be able to deal with the cost of living (unfortunately the raises are so low that it is hard for certain groups) and the inflation rate. I always wondered why no one complains when CEOs received millions and millions from the government as a bailout and those CEOs decided to use the bailout to pay themselves their million dollar bonuses while people lost their life savings and pension. Yet, let’s complain that teachers who have masters degrees or PhDs and given a small raise of 4%-4% (it still hasn’t been decided) that would bring the teachers’ salary to level of acceptable pittance where teachers deal with 130-150 HS students on a daily basis. Teachers do it because they love teaching and seeing students success. Listen Mom who cares, teachers deserve more than the proposed raise. It is fair and just! So before you think that the raise is too much, think about the CEOs in Lehman Bros, AIG, Enron, who got those outrageous bonuses and did not care about the employees who lost their income, benefits, pension and the means to support their children. Or do you feel there is justice in corporate america?

  • Anonymous seer

    UFT support could have made a significant difference for Thompson, especially if they had financed a major ad campaign pointing out how Bloomberg’s claims of success in education are all smoke and mirrors. Thompson had no ad budget so all those claims went unanswered. But doing so might also have risked weakening the UFT’s perceived case for another salary hike. For a long time, Randi colluded with the mayor in the fiction of better achievement results, probably in her effort to boost the contract.

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